Piero Cingari
Markets
European markets often soar in December, but what’s behind the rally?
December has historically delivered strong gains for European stocks, with the EURO STOXX 50, DAX, and CAC 40 often rallying in the second half of the month. Driven by fund manager behaviour and seasonal trends, this “Santa rally” remains a reliable market pattern.
Economy
German economic sentiment edges higher but recovery remains fragile
Germany’s ZEW economic sentiment slightly rose in October, yet annual inflation accelerated to 2.4% last month, driven by rising service costs. Markets fell, with the DAX down 0.9%, as renewed US-China trade tensions weighed on sentiment.
Economy
France's political turmoil drags on: What are the economic risks?
France’s political crisis is fuelling economic and market uncertainty, with risks to growth and compliance with EU borrowing rules. Bond spreads have widened, reforms are stalled, and analysts warn the ECB may need to act if the situation continues to deteriorate.
Markets
Magnificent Seven surpass EU GDP: Is this a tech bubble warning?
The combined market value of the US 'Magnificent Seven' tech giants has surpassed the EU’s GDP, raising concerns of a tech bubble. While valuations are high, comparisons to the dot-com era suggest this may be a structural shift.
Economy
Eurozone inflation hits 5-month high: ECB expected to stay cautious
Eurozone inflation rose to 2.2% in September, its highest in five months, driven by services and energy. Core inflation held at 2.3%, suggesting underlying pressures remain firm. The data reinforces the ECB’s stance to keep rates on hold for now.